Ceisteanna—Questions. Oral Answers. - Consumer Debt Growth.
asked the Minister for Finance if he will indicate the basis and criteria examined by his Department in determining the correlation between the growth of consumer debt and the rate of inflation.
Comment on this
As I stated in reply to the Deputy's question on 21st November, there is no identifiable correlation of the kind suggested in the question.
The latest available statistics show that in June last total hire purchase and other instalment credit outstanding amounted to £118.3 million, an increase of 12 per cent since December, 1971. It has been estimated that about 60 per cent of total instalment credit relates directly to personal consumption. Advances by the Associated Banks to personal borrowers totalled £113 million at mid-August, 1972, an increase of 28 per cent since mid-February, 1972. It is not known what proportion of this lending would be spent on consumer goods.
The increase in consumer credit this year reflects recovery from a relatively low level of activity in 1971 and the removal of certain hire purchase restrictions last year. There is no evidence that the increase in credit is giving rise to excessive consumer expenditure. The causes of the present inflation are excessive cost pressures and external factors.
Comment on this
Surely there must be some co-efficient of correlation between the increase in consumer debt and the inflation?
Comment on this
If the Deputy means that one could work out that there is a proportion between two unconnected figures of such and such and such— if that is what he means——
Comment on this
I have said that there is no correlation on a number of occasions but in case the Deputy means something else, I am trying——
Comment on this
I am talking about correlation which is normally worked out as a co-efficient. Is the Minister really telling this House that no co-efficient of correlation between the increase in the consumer debt and the inflation——
Comment on this
Is the Minister aware of the work of the Social and Economic Research Institute on that point?
Comment on this
The Minister must have very little respect for the House to make a reply of that kind.