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Dáil
‹ Ceisteanna—Questions . Oral Answers . - OECD Report .

OECD Report and Growth Outlook

Summary

The Minister said the Government considered the OECD report valuable, while noting its caution about slower international growth and slightly lower growth estimates than the Government’s. He maintained that Ireland’s outlook remained strong and that it was premature to expect a significant slowdown; international ministers were discussing positive action, though no programme had yet been agreed.

asked the Minister for Economic Planning and Development if the OECD Report on the economy has been considered by the Government.

Comment on this
Martin O'Donoghue Minister for Economic Planning and Development (Professor O'Donoghue) Fianna Fáil

: The Government have naturally considered the OECD Report and regard it as a valuable economic commentary, which provides guidance for economic policy formulation.

Comment on this

: Could the Minister comment on what appeared to be the reduced expectations for growth expressed in the OECD document for next year?

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Martin O'Donoghue Professor O'Donoghue Fianna Fáil

: They point to the risks that might be associated with the slower rate of growth in the international economy and so forth. Although the OECD estimates for growth this year are somewhat below those in the Government's own projection, there is no substantial difference between the two estimates. It is far too soon at this juncture to contemplate any significant falling off in the expected growth for 1979. At present we will simply note the views put forward by the OECD.

Comment on this

: The Minister will agree that it will make nonsense of some of the anticipated events in the recent Green Paper if the cautious note struck by the OECD Report is brought through next year in reduced growth?

Comment on this
Martin O'Donoghue Professor O'Donoghue Fianna Fáil

: No. The Deputy will find just as many statements from the Government side about prospective uncertainties relating to future years. Despite the specific points mentioned in the OECD report the basic tenor of that document does confirm our view that the Irish economy is developing rapidly at present, that there are a number of substantial plus points in our performance and that there is no reason why we should not continue to outperform our EEC partners in the coming years.

Comment on this

: Does the Minister think it would be possible on the basis of present policies to continue our record growth of last year over the next three or four years if the misgivings of the OECD report are carried into reality and if other EEC countries' growth begins to drop? Does the Minister seriously consider it possible for us to maintain a record level of growth in the absence of any new policies in this international situation?

Comment on this
Martin O'Donoghue Professor O'Donoghue Fianna Fáil

: But there are proposals for international action currently under discussion among the major——

Comment on this

: Not very successful.

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Martin O'Donoghue Professor O'Donoghue Fianna Fáil

: I can only say that a very positive approach is being adopted to these things. I attended a meeting of OECD Economic Ministers last week which discussed this very topic for two days and I can assure the Deputy that there was general agreement on the need for positive action in the coming months. I agree that there has been no specific action programme agreed upon as yet but there is certainly a very widespread acceptance and recognition of the need for such action. What remains to be settled is the precise detail. Therefore, it would be totally wrong and premature at this juncture to anticipate any pessimistic revision of policies in the coming months.

Comment on this

: The Minister is expressing the views of his colleagues?

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Martin O'Donoghue Professor O'Donoghue Fianna Fáil

: Yes.

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Joseph Brennan An Ceann Comhairle Fianna Fáil

: The remaining questions will appear on tomorrow's Order Paper.

Comment on this