Emigration statistics and estimates
The Minister said direct migration figures were unavailable; the latest reliable estimate showed net outward migration of 5,000 in 1979–81, with later figures tentative. Reynolds linked emigration to unemployment, but the Chair ruled those political remarks outside the statistical question.
asked the Taoiseach if emigration has re-started on a wide scale in Ireland; and the most recent statistics available on the subject over the past 12 months.
Comment on this
Dún Laoghaire): Direct information on actual migration flows, outwards and inwards, is not available. The only reliable estimates of migration flows are those for net migration between successive censuses of population. The estimates for these periods are obtained by relating intercensal population changes to data for births and deaths in the same period. In this way it was estimated that for the two-year intercensal period April 1979-April 1981 outward migration exceeded inward migration by 5,000.
For later periods only very tentative estimates can be made based on provisional population estimates. The provisional mid-April 1983 population estimate, the latest available, is 65,000 above the 1981 census figure. The natural increase—excess of births over deaths —in the same period was 76,000. Thus for April 1981-April 1983 it is tentatively estimated that outward migration exceeded inward migration by some 11,000.
Comment on this
I am sure the Minister of State will agree that this is a very unsatisfactory way of doing business and of finding out the statistics which are necessary for forward planning. I am sure he will accept that it must cause great concern to the Government and to the people that the scourge of emigration has returned at an alarming rate. Trends in recent months would indicate that there is a serious upsurge in emigration. Does he accept that this is a serious reflection on the total and abject failure of the Government to provide jobs for young people, not only for those who left school last year but for the 30,000 or so who will leave this year? They are left without hope.
Comment on this
They see emigration as the only possible solution. Have the Government any solutions?
Comment on this
If the Minister of State just gave statistics I would agree with the Chair but he went further than that. I ask the Minister of State to agree that the huge increase in emigration is a reflection on the total and abject failure of the Government.
Comment on this
This question deals with statistics. The Deputy may put the information to another Minister.
Comment on this
I would agree that it is a statistical question if the Minister gave purely statistical information but he did not do so.
Comment on this
The Deputy should not argue with the Chair. There is another question, No. 324, on the Order Paper.
Comment on this
At the rate we are going we will not reach Question No. 324 until next October or November.
Comment on this
The people, particularly young people, are very concerned about the total and abject failure of the Government's policies. Emigration seems to be the only solution offered by the Government to the problem of ever-increasing unemployment.