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Dáil
‹ Ceisteanna—Questions. Oral Answers. - Employment Projections.

Employment projections and job targets

Summary

Keating questioned the evidence and independent validation behind the National Plan’s employment projections; the Taoiseach said targets were developed with departments and agencies and agreed with the IDA. Asked whether the figures were gross or net, he first called them net of job losses, then clarified that they count jobs to be created without accounting for losses.

asked the Taoiseach if he will outline the basis for which the studies on the employment projections in the recent national plan were based; if he will quote references for these projections; whether any such studies had any degree of independent validation; and if he will make a statement on the matter.

Comment on this

The job objectives and opportunities outlined in the Programme for National Recovery were established on the advice of and in consultation with the responsible Government Departments and State agencies.

Comment on this

Would the Taoiseach be good enough to answer the other parts of the question, including for example, if he could name one agency which submitted studies regarding job potential or job projections along the lines of the national plan? Secondly, have they any degree of independent validation? Lastly, would the Taoiseach, for example, agree that the strategic studies by some of the employment agencies would fall very far short of the elaborate and somewhat farfetched targets of the plan? I want to know where these came from. I do not dispute that the Government were in consultation with the agencies.

Comment on this
Seán Treacy An Ceann Comhairle Independent

I think the Deputy has made his point.

Comment on this

I just want to know if the Taoiseach agrees with this.

Comment on this

As I said in my reply, the objectives were established on the advice of and in consultation with all the different Government Departments and agencies concerned. I have already indicated that these are targets, objectives and that we shall do everything in our power to achieve them. I hope that we shall have better success in achieving these targets than was associated with the document of the party to which the Deputy previously belonged, namely, Building on Reality.

Comment on this

I am resisting the temptation to be drawn to a side.

Comment on this

The Deputy is already drawn to a side.

Comment on this

I want to ask specifically if the strategic studies of the IDA bear out the figures which appear in the national plan.

Comment on this

Yes, they do.

Comment on this

Is that a confirmation?

Comment on this

The figures are put forward in full agreement and in consultation with the IDA, as far as they are concerned. I think that I have already pointed out that the IDA have been achieving something in the region of 1,500 to 1,700 new jobs. What we are asking in the period immediately ahead is not all that much of a radical advance on that figure.

Comment on this
John Bruton Mr. J. Bruton Fine Gael

Are the figures gross?

Comment on this

Is the Deputy building on reality now?

Comment on this
John Bruton Mr. J. Bruton Fine Gael

Perhaps the Taoiseach might start building on reality by answering this question. Can he say whether the figures are gross or nett, whether, for instance, 1,000 new jobs in toolmaking mean that the Taoiseach is talking about 1,000 extra jobs there or simply 1,000 jobs that will be created in order to replace perhaps a loss of 1,500, which would be a nett reduction?

Comment on this

The figures are nett of job losses. They are targets for job creation.

Comment on this
John Bruton Mr. J. Bruton Fine Gael

Is the Taoiseach saying that in each of the sectors mentioned there actually will be a total increase in the number of jobs after account is taken of job losses of the figure mentioned?

Comment on this

This has all been published and the Deputy might have taken the trouble to read it. What the programme envisages is the creation of this number of new jobs. It does not take into account job losses.

Comment on this
John Bruton Mr. J. Bruton Fine Gael

So we can actually have job reduction.

Comment on this